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ADAM SMITH'S MONEY GAME
Transcript #106
Air Date: May 22, 1998
Missed the show?
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ANNOUNCER: [voice over] This program is made possible by a
grant from MetLife, helping people become financially secure for 130
years. Funding has also been provided by the Roy R. and Marie S.
Neuberger Foundation.
ADAM SMITH: [voice over] It's your money, you earned it. But
what's your game plan? Meet Suze Orman and find out how to achieve
financial freedom; and picking the best mutual funds, finding good
financial advice and planning your retirement. Next, in a Money Game
special.
Face to Face
Back to top
ADAM SMITH: Hello, I'm Adam Smith and welcome to this special
edition of The Money Game. What do you think about more often --
sex or money? If your answer is sex, you're in the minority. According
to a recent national Money magazine poll, we Americans think more
often about money than sex by a margin of two to one.
This week, a program to help improve those thoughts you can't stop
having about your money. Joining me will be the reigning personal
finance team at Bloomberg Personal magazine. They will lay out a game
plan to help you think through which mutual funds to buy, how to retire
well and where to turn for financial advice.
But first, her book is a number one bestseller. It has touched people,
made them feel they could empower themselves in the handling of
money. It's not surprising she has a wide and enthusiastic following. She
can mobilize people with her philosophy. Meet Suze Orman, face to
face.
SUZE ORMAN, ``The 9 Steps to Financial Freedom'': Those
who do what feels powerful to them, not because somebody else has
told them to do it, but because it feels right for them, they then know
when to sell. They know when to buy because they're not operating out
of fear.
So for instance, as a stock broker when I would call a client and I
would say buy IBM, if they didn't feel themselves like it was a good
stock, if they didn't know about it themselves, if IBM went from 60 to
40, they would undoubtedly have sold at 40 because they would be
afraid. But because they knew about IBM, they'd watch it go to 40 and
they'd go, oh, it's all right, it will come back one day. Those people
who weren't powerful and they did it because I was telling them to do it
or they'd listen to everybody else when it comes to their money rather
than knowing for themselves and trusting their own gut, they would buy
something; it would start to go down rather than go up because you
know, Adam, nobody buys it at the very bottom. You'll buy something
and then it goes down.
ADAM SMITH: Suze, what if your gut isn't trained? Suppose you
have a gut that's new to the business?
SUZE ORMAN: That's when you have to start to learn yourself. How
much do you really know about yourself and how you feel about
things? And then maybe truthfully, Adam, you shouldn't be doing
certain things.
I'll tell you, I know many people who are millionaires today by having
their money in money market funds, by having treasury notes because
that's what makes them feel powerful.
ADAM SMITH: How do they get to be millionaires then?
SUZE ORMAN: By working for it and saving it and consistently
doing that. But that's what they like to do.
ADAM SMITH: But how do you tune yourself psychologically to just
the right thing, because you've said you can't be fearful. Well, I
understand that. And you can't be greedy. Obviously, fear and greed
are the two extremes of the market. But how do you know where you
are yourself? Is there a simple test you can give yourself to see how
fearful or how greedy you are?
SUZE ORMAN: It's not so much a test, it's how much you know
yourself. When you get this hit, you know, each and every one of us --
and I say this all the time -- has this little voice and it's right around
here. It's not a little voice, it's a huge voice. I have to tell you, I think it's
the voice of God telling each and every one of us what to do and what
not to do. And if you could only learn to listen to that voice, Adam.
Have you ever yourself had that little feeling not to do something?
ADAM SMITH: Yes, but I don't know whether it's God or the devil.
SUZE ORMAN: Well, it doesn't matter. You've had that little feeling
not to do something. You've done it and then you go, why didn't I
listen? I shouldn't have done it. If you can just listen to that first-- it's
called a ``sponda'' -- to that first reaction--
ADAM SMITH: Who calls it the sponda?
SUZE ORMAN: You know, in ancient Indian tradition and if you go
back to the Scriptures, what happens first comes from here and it's
called, they named it a sponda, which I think really, even though this
isn't probably true, is where the word spontaneous came from.
Remember Adam, your money and your life are one. We tend to take
our money and push it away. Our money is over here. We work for it
but everything, we push it away. We need to come together with our
money as one.
ADAM SMITH: Tell me about money and shame.
SUZE ORMAN: Yes.
ADAM SMITH: Why is it that people will go on television shows,
reveal the most intimate parts of their sex lives but nobody talks about
how much money they have or how much debt they have or anything
else?
SUZE ORMAN: Because I think that we are all pretending that we
are far more than we are and we are defining ourselves by our money
and what we have and what we do, rather than who we are inside
really. When you meet somebody, you judge them immediately by the
clothes they wear, the cars they drive, the schools they send their
children to, the neighborhoods they live in -- everything about them.
However, how often do you get to learn about who they really are
inside?
You know, a fascinating thing happens to us, Adam, as we get older.
Now maybe we meet somebody and I'll say, ``Hi, I'm Suze, the author
of The 9 Steps to Financial Freedom.'' Or you're Adam Smith, the
television talk show host. Years from now, when we're 80 or 90 and
somebody meets us, I'm simply going to say, ``Hi, I'm Suze.'' ``Hi, I'm
Adam.'' We're not going to define ourselves by what we do and our
job title.
ADAM SMITH: So why do we wait until we're 80? We do it now?
SUZE ORMAN: So why should we wait? Why not do it now? But
we're all ashamed that maybe today we're not as much as we look like
we are.
ADAM SMITH: You say there is a right way, right action for money
and if you do that, money will come to you. Now that sounds quite
Buddhist to me or something like it. Where did you get that? I mean,
tell me about that. Does money really come to you if you do the right
thing?
SUZE ORMAN: You know, money has an energy force all unto its
own. It's alive. If I had a dollar bill right here in front of you and I were
to rip it up, your entire viewing audience, including you, Adam, would
go, oh, my God, what are you doing? But if you took a $3 magazine
and threw it away that you never got around to reading, you wouldn't
think twice about it. Or $20 worth of food that spoiled -- wouldn't
think twice about it when you threw that away.
But money in money's form has an energy to it. So, just like in life,
when you feel powerful -- have you ever noticed all your friends call?
Everybody wants to take you out to dinner and pay for it. Job
interviews come. Everything comes your way. But as soon as you feel
powerless, nobody's around and you're all by yourself. The same is true
with money. When you're feeling powerful, money is attracted to you.
When you're feeling powerless, money is repelled from you. Right
action -- when you do things that are right, both for yourself and others
when it comes to money, and you act from a place of powerlessness
with respect, you feel this energy and money starts to come your way in
all kinds of ways that you would never expect.
ADAM SMITH: So the money goes to where it senses the power is?
SUZE ORMAN: Where it senses respect and right action are; that's
where money goes. That's true.
ADAM SMITH: Why should you give money away when you've
worked so hard to attract it to you?
SUZE ORMAN: Because most of us go through life holding on so
tightly to that little amount that we think we have, our hands literally
aren't open to receive that which is meant to come our way. I have
found that the only way to open the hands, is by giving money away.
When you give money away to say thank you -- thank you for what
you have and thank you for what you don't have.
ADAM SMITH: Then again, when you're 80 years old, you won't
care because you can't take it with you.
SUZE ORMAN: I can tell you there's not one of us, Adam, including
you, that when you're on your death bed you're going to wish that you
bought IBM at 40 or that little red convertible that you never got
around to buying. Did you ever want a red convertible?
ADAM SMITH: I had a red convertible.
SUZE ORMAN: Well, there you go. I had a feeling. But anyway,
when you're on your death bed, that is not what you're going to be
thinking about. So if we can get our thoughts straight; again, if we can
get that our self worth and our net worth can be one, but our self worth
can actually be more important to us than our net worth, boy, I can tell
you when you know you're perfect with or without money, then you
truly start to have financial freedom and a wealth that all the money in
the world can never buy.
Game Plan - Choosing Mutual Funds
Back to top
ADAM SMITH: Most Americans are feeling pretty good about their
personal finances. In the latest Gallop poll, 55 percent said they feel
better off than a year ago. And even more, over 70 percent, said they
expect to be even better off a year from now. One reason, of course, is
the rise of the stock market. And for most people, stocks means mutual
funds. There are now over 9,000 of them -- more funds than there are
stocks quoted on the New York Stock Exchange. So how do you
choose? And how do you filter out the salesman's hype? Bob Casey
and Mary Rowland, Bloomberg Personal magazine, have a game
plan.
MARY ROWLAND, Bloomberg Personal Magazine: You have
to have a portfolio of funds, which is-- sounds like a jargon term.
ADAM SMITH: How many should be-- how many funds are a
portfolio?
MARY ROWLAND: A minimum of three. I think you need three for
a portfolio and a maximum of 12.
ADAM SMITH: All right. Bob, how do you do it?
BOB CASEY, Bloomberg Personal Magazine: Well, you need to
identify a core fund or two that will form the basis of the portfolio. And
you want to have broad exposure to stocks. This is the engine of
growth that's going to bring you enough money to retire with. And then
you're going to have specialized funds around that and they may be
there to enhance the return, they may be there to provide more
diversification. Example, you might have a core fund that would be a
growth and income fund and invest in large stocks. And maybe you
would have-- around that you might have a bond fund, a foreign stock
fund, a small stock fund.
ADAM SMITH: All right. So the main one is the one you're
comfortable with.
BOB CASEY: Right.
ADAM SMITH: And the satellite ones are your side dishes and your
dessert and your appetizer and what have you. Still, how do you find
the main fund that you're going to be comfortable with?
BOB CASEY: Once you decide on what you want the fund-- what
role it's going to play. Say it's going to be a core fund. That's going to
be a fund that might be called a growth and income fund or maybe a
large value fund. You can use a number of sources of information --
Morningstar, Valueline, references in the library, references that are
online -- to look through the funds in that category.
ADAM SMITH: Should you use, by the way, the stars in
Morningstar?
BOB CASEY: The star rating shows how the fund has done relative to
all funds. If it has done best in the last year on the basis that
Morningstar uses, it will get five stars. It doesn't show you how that
fund has done in relation to the other funds in its categories. Our
example -- growth and income funds. If growth and income funds have
been lagging, none of them are going to have five stars. Maybe they'll
have two or three stars or four stars, the better ones. If you want to
pick a growth and income fund, then the star rating can be a little
misleading. You want to go to what Morningstar calls its category
rating. And there you're going to find a rating that just looks at the funds
in the category that you're looking at.
ADAM SMITH: What about just using index funds?
MARY ROWLAND: I was going to say, I think that's an alternative.
If you just wanted to use index funds, which is a very smart way to go,
I think you could do it without educating yourself so much; without
spending so much research time.
ADAM SMITH: Are you saying that the rational reaction is to buy
indexes?
MARY ROWLAND: Yes, absolutely. That's absolutely right. That's
absolutely right.
ADAM SMITH: Wow. That's really interesting.
MARY ROWLAND: And I think you'd see with finance professors,
accountants, people who really look at the numbers, they're indexes.
ADAM SMITH: What are the worst mistakes people make when
they buy mutual funds for themselves?
MARY ROWLAND: I think you just put your finger on one of them,
is they can't wring the emotions out of it. They personalize it. They take
a loss. They regret a loss and they sell when they lose.
ADAM SMITH: They treat it just like a stock.
MARY ROWLAND: They get all-- oh, absolutely. They get all
wrapped up in the emotions of it. They read that a fund is about to
close, so they run out and buy it.
ADAM SMITH: Mary, tell me how often you should look up and see
how your fund is doing?
MARY ROWLAND: Well, I think people like to see what their fund
is doing. I think probably if you looked every quarter, that would be
plenty. But I don't think there's anything wrong with looking so long as
you don't act on it.
ADAM SMITH: What are some of the other things we should look
for when we're looking up a fund?
BOB CASEY: Expenses are really key. I think people, when they
focus on performance, they figure, well, expenses come out of that, I
want the best performance I can. Whatever the expenses are, it's all
right if the performance is good. They don't realize that it's very hard to
predict performance and expenses are a much more constant, ongoing
thing. They compound.
ADAM SMITH: What's a high expense and what's a low expense?
BOB CASEY: The average expense for a stock fund is 1.4 percent of
the amount of the account, the assets under management.
ADAM SMITH: Every year.
BOB CASEY: That's the average. Low is in the .75, three-quarters of
a percent.
ADAM SMITH: And what would an index fund be?
BOB CASEY: I think the Vanguard--
MARY ROWLAND: .19.
BOB CASEY: Yeah, .19 or .18. It's a tiny fraction.
ADAM SMITH: I think you should say the disadvantage of the index
fund then, because isn't it that if the index fund is always 100 percent
invested, you're going to get the index. And if the index goes down,
which hasn't happened in quite a while, it's not the same as a manager
who held some cash.
BOB CASEY: Managers can add value. The problem is identifying
them. You want to look for a manager that has a disciplined investment
process that can be articulated and followed consistently. You want to
look for a manager who has experience -- the more years, the better.
MARY ROWLAND: Consistency. I think consistency and tenure.
You know, you look at a fund that has been doing the same thing for a
long time and then you look to see has the same manager been doing it,
because when--
ADAM SMITH: Where do you look, Mary, to find this out? I mean,
of course, many prospectuses tell us, but is there a handy place to find
out where all the managers are and how long they've been on the job?
MARY ROWLAND: Certainly Morningstar and Valueline identify
those things. And Morningstar will show the performance of the fund
over the past 10 years. And it shows the performance year by year.
And it also shows those specially marked where the manager leaves. I
think if the manager--
ADAM SMITH: An arrow -- ``manager left.''
MARY ROWLAND: That's right. And I think when the manager
leaves, you should leave. You know, all bets are off.
[Graphic: Useful Mutual Fund Web Sites Morningstar -
www.morningstar.net Valueline - www.valueline.com Mutual Funds
Interactive - www.brill.com The Index Investor -
www.indexinvestor.com]
Game Plan - Thinking About Retirement
Back to top
ADAM SMITH: What happens when you retire? Will you be able to
afford to live well or at least fairly well? Forty percent of Americans
said no, they did not think so in a Money magazine poll. And a third
didn't think social security would be there any more by the time they
might need it. Rightly or wrongly, retirement is probably the number one
worry most people have. So what should you do, especially if you're
like most people and didn't start planning your retirement and saving for
it right out of high school.
Here's Jill Fraser of Bloomberg Personal magazine with her game
plan.
JILL FRASER, Bloomberg Personal Magazine: I think the thing
that all of us have to keep in mind is that retirement today is different
from what it was for our parents and for people even 10 or 15 years
ago. For many of us baby boomers, we're saving for retirement and yet
we will also be facing things like the education-- the college education
of our kids at the same time.
ADAM SMITH: How is that different than before?
JILL FRASER: Well, our parents, for example, would be-- would
handle things like college costs and then maybe they had another 10 or
15 years to kind of max up their retirement savings. And, of course,
they had more faith in the social security system than many of us do.
ADAM SMITH: They were different because they had children
earlier, is that what you're saying?
JILL FRASER: They had children earlier. Many of us now have
second marriages, children later in life. And so you could actually be in
a position where you're 65 years old and you have kids who are
entering college now. That means you have a lot of financial burdens
that are going to hit all at the same time.
ADAM SMITH: Well, what do you do other than-- obviously, you
should start the first-- you should start now, right after this program.
JILL FRASER: That's right. Absolutely.
ADAM SMITH: Okay. Other than that, suppose you haven't?
Suppose time has passed you by or suppose you haven't done it
enough? What do you do?
JILL FRASER: I think that the point is you do have to start as soon
as you can. But you also have to be realistic. I mean, when you sit in a
conversation with a financial planner or a stock broker, they'll scare you
because, you know, you should be saving $1,000, $2,000, 10 percent
of your salary for retirement at the same time that you're saving $1,000
a month for each of your kids for college.
ADAM SMITH: That will be news to a lot of people who can't clear
up their credit card debt.
JILL FRASER: That's right. It's not a possibility really.
ADAM SMITH: So what do you do?
JILL FRASER: First of all, you have to kind of defuse some
anxieties; realize this is important, set whatever goals are realistic and
then stick to whatever plan is manageable. For many of us, even if you
get an end of the year bonus and could put, say, half of that as well into
a retirement account, anything that you can do, you're better off than
not doing anything.
ADAM SMITH: Okay. What's the first step?
JILL FRASER: Well, find out what your company has to offer. I
mean, those are the best plans that there are. If your company has a
401k plan or a simple 401k plan, then often you're in a situation, first of
all, whatever you put in is going to be tax deferred. You won't have to
pay taxes on it. The interest that you earn on that account is not going
to be subject to taxes until you withdraw it. And many companies will
match part or all of what you contribute. That's like giving yourself a
raise really.
ADAM SMITH: Okay. But now you just quoted the example a
minute ago of somebody whose kids are going off to college and you
don't have enough to send them to college.
JILL FRASER: That's right.
ADAM SMITH: Okay, then what do you do?
JILL FRASER: Well, now Adam, this is where I'm offering-- all of
the financial planners will pick up the phone and call your show and tell
you that I'm crazy. But what I believe people should do is save through
these retirement vehicles even if in the back of your mind you know that
you might have to borrow from them or partially cash them in to pay for
college because that is really a way of getting that tax advantage for
saving for important goals.
ADAM SMITH: You take it out of the 401k--
JILL FRASER: Well, if you borrow, you see--
ADAM SMITH: You borrow from the 401k and you send it to the
college.
JILL FRASER: Yes, and then pay it back it.
ADAM SMITH: And you hope these ungrateful whelps will send the
money home quickly. Get a job.
JILL FRASER: Absolutely. But if they don't and you pay yourself
back, well, you're paying interest-- the interest that you're paying is not
going to a bank, it's going to your retirement savings also. That's a nice
benefit.
ADAM SMITH: That's clever. That's clever. Can you charge yourself
any interest rate you want?
JILL FRASER: No. Your company will have an interest rate preset,
but it will be a relatively low interest rate. It's much better than even
doing something like a home equity loan or, say, a personal line of
credit.
[Graphic: Borrowing from your 401k Borrowing cannot typically
exceed $50,000. Loan must typically be paid within 5 years. Interest
rates are typically lower than credit card rates.]
Game Plan - Using Financial Advisers
Back to top
ADAM SMITH: When asked by Money magazine how often they
worry about money, nearly 60 percent said very or fairly often. If you
have a toothache, you go and find a dentist. The equivalent in the
money game may well be a financial adviser or planner. But can they
relieve the pain? If you need one, then how do you sort out the good
ones from the incompetent or even the crooks? Lynn Brenner from
Bloomberg magazine has a game plan.
LYNN BRENNER, Bloomberg Personal Magazine: I think
probably most people at some point in their life could benefit from
professional financial advice, either at a crisis point -- for example, your
spouse dies, you have a large amount of life insurance. You don't know
what to do with the money. You don't know how to invest it. One
woman I know of was left in exactly that situation and went to a
financial planner asking how to invest the money. And after the
conversation, the financial planner said forget about how to invest it for
the moment, nothing terrible will happen if it stays in the bank for three
months. The first thing you have to do is draw up a will and name a
guardian for your kids, because she didn't have that.
So a financial planner can really help give you a sense of what your
priorities ought to be; can look at the big picture.
ADAM SMITH: Well, I can certainly understand the crisis. Who else
needs a financial planner?
LYNN BRENNER: I think everyone probably as they near
retirement. When you are a few years from retirement, you have a good
sense of what your nest egg is. You need to know how much money it
needs to generate to pay your expenses. How you should invest to
generate that amount of money. You need to know how long your
money has to last, because even though you're going to be drawing out
a certain amount every year, you want to keep some of it invested to
grow to keep pace with inflation.
If you go to a financial planner with good software, he can crunch those
numbers for you, make different assumptions about interest rates, tax
rates, your longevity and come up with a blueprint for you. Maybe that
will show you that you'll need a 20 percent return on your money to get
the income. Then you have to redesign your budget.
ADAM SMITH: Where do I find one? How do I know who is a
financial-- I mean, this is not like CPA. It's not something that's been
stamped by the state that you live in.
LYNN BRENNER: You're perfectly right. Anybody can call himself
a financial planner. And these days, everybody who sells any kind of
financial product does call himself a planner, an adviser, a consultant. I
think there are some credentials that are very important to look for --
CFP, which is a Certified Financial Planner. It's a certification that
comes from a professional organization, not from a government agency.
But there are educational requirements. They have to pass a rather
rigorous 10-hour exam. There's an ethical code they have to abide by.
And the other one is PFS.
ADAM SMITH: All right. And where do you get the list? There must
be an 800 number.
LYNN BRENNER: There are several, in fact. Toll-free numbers --
you can call the national organization. They will refer you to people in
your area who are members.
ADAM SMITH: What do you have to pay a financial planner?
LYNN BRENNER: Their fees range-- hourly fees would range from
perhaps $50 an hour all the way up to $200 an hour. And they also
charge flat rates for a project. For example, if you wanted the numbers
crunched for your retirement with several different scenarios and advice
on those scenarios, that would cost maybe about $1,500 for the whole
thing.
ADAM SMITH: That much? What about people that take-- don't
charge a fee but take commissions?
LYNN BRENNER: I don't think you should go to commissioned
advisers for advice because their commission is based on a sale. And
they are naturally going to advise you to buy what they sell because if
you don't they're not going to earn anything.
[Graphic: To find a qualified (CFP) Certified Financial Planner in your
area call 800-282-7526. To find a qualified PFS (Personal Finance
Specialist) in your area call 800-862-4272.]
ADAM SMITH: Get in touch at our e-mail address,
letters@adamsmith.net. Or write to us the old-fashioned way at Adam
Smith's Money Game, 885 Third Avenue, Suite 2800, New York,
New York 10022. If your question gets chosen, I will be sending you a
personally signed copy of my book, The Money Game.
Next week, be sure not to miss a rare interview with hedge fund legend
Julian Robertson of Tiger Management. And the outstanding Suze
Orman will be back to address specific issues when she answers your
viewer questions. I'm Adam Smith, see you next week as the money
game continues.
ANNOUNCER: For more of the Money Game, visit us in cyberspace
at www.adamsmith.net.
ANNOUNCER: This program is made possible by a grant from
MetLife with over $330 billion in assets under management. Funding
has also been provided by the Roy R. and Marie S. Neuberger
Foundation.
CREDITS
Editor-in-Chief ADAM SMITH
Executive Producers PETER FOGES and ROBERT J. GELINE
Executive in Charge of Production DOUGLAS P. SINSEL
Associate Producer ELIZABETH D. DEWEY
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